Survivor: Exile Island – Episode 2

A second castaway is voted off the island.

Survivor Exile Island on CBS

Melinda of Surivor Panama Exile Island

Survivor Panama: Exile Island Blog
Episode 2 Elimination: Melinda

Let me start off by saying how disappointed I was with Shane’s opening interview.  The previews for this week showed him saying “This place just breeds bad luck” and then getting nailed by what appeared to be a falling tree.  Not that I wish bodily harm to any of our Survivors, but when you show me a preview clip like that, I’m expecting a major injury to come into play. Nothing like that remotely happened, and not only was there nothing more than what last week’s preview showed, they never mentioned it again.  Yeah, it was hilarious, but I do feel a little betrayed by CBS for the unsubstanciated hype.

Going into this episode, I figured that we were looking at Cirie or Shane as the next ones to be voted off.  Cirie narrowly escaped last week, and Shane was supposed to completely lose it this episode, which he did…

I think it’s safe to say that the thought “poor kid” crossed everyone’s mind when Shane began talking about his son and how much he wanted to go home.  The man is completely off his rocker.  I just hope that the producers didn’t let him take his Prozac or something, and that’s why he’s acting this way.  Otherwise… that poor kid.  And as a side note –  The guy said he’s smoked 3 packs of cigarettes a day for 20 years. In medical school they teach you that’s 60 pack years.  People with 60 pack years on them are usually 60-80 years old.  Shane is in his mid-thirties.  Ever heard of lung cancer? Anyone up for some mesothelioma? And If you’re so worried about your kid, why don’t you stop subjecting him to second hand smoke?

So the producers must’ve gotten the same hunch that I did about what would happen if they did a straight merge, and they randomized the whole thing.  The problem is, idiots attract, and thanks to an awful school-yard picking system, the teams are now more mismatched than in Palau.  If Casaya wins a single challenge, immunity or reward, without a player swap going down, I’ll be shocked.  La Mina’s just loaded.

Now back to my pick to win it all, Sally.  Thankfully, she’s on La Mina.  But her fate is currently up in the air.  Nick and Austin have been approached by both Terry and Dan, and Sally and Misty to form a four-way alliance.  And if the guys stick together, which is what I think will happen, she could be in trouble.  However, as I’ve stated, La Mina should get to the merge fairly intact, so Sally should be able to tread water until then… As long as she doesn’t drop any more fishing spears into the ocean!  Talk about a bone-head move!  Never before have I had to rethink my initial pick this soon into the show. But like I said, she’s on La Mina, so she’s safe.  Thank goodness.

So back to Casaya, who obviously lost immunity. Shane’s flipped out and told everyone to vote him off.  But then Aras for some reason, talks him into staying.  And then, in a even bigger bone-head move than Sally’s, Aras tells Cirie and Melinda that they’ve got an alliance of four with Courtney and Danielle and that the two of them are the next to go.  Now Shane’s certifiably insane. But Aras is just the dumbest person to ever play the game.  I have no doubt about this. You just don’t do that.  If I were Courtney and Danielle, I switch my loyalties right away and partner with Cirie, and Melinda.  There’s no way I’m staking my chance at a million dollars by going with Mr. Mesothelioma and Dumb Aras.  But like I said before, idiots attract, and the girls stuck wtih their aliance.  Melinda got the boot in the end, making me miss out on my pre-show predictions.  But I think it’s safe to pencil in Cirie for next week.  Although she’s showing me a lot more than I could have expected from a girl who was afraid of leaves…

Now onto my winner predictions…

Nick: He’s on La Mina, so that’s almost guaranteed merge.  Plus, he seems to be the guy everyone’s going to for an aliance.  As long as he doesn’t fumble the ball by being indicisive, he should be good. 

Last Week’s Chances: 10:1 This Week: 5:1

Bruce:  He ended up on Casaya, so that’s not good.  Plus he’s not in an alliance.  He did get to spend three days on Exile Island, so unless they put that immunity idol in a venomous snake pit, you’d think he has to have it.  

Last Week’s Chances: 7:1  This Week’s Chances: 14:1

Terry:  As long as Nick and Austin stay true to the alliance, this guy’s gold.  But you do have to worry about him becoming too big of a threat.  And I’m not liking the fact that him and Steve Buschemi are out of the closet as alliance partners.

Last Week’s Chances for Terry: 3.5:1   This Week’s Chances:  3:1

Last Week’s Chances for Dan: 4:1  This Week’s Chances: 3.5:1

And as for my pony on Survivor Panama: Exile Island, Sally. Well, like I said, between the men’s possible alliance, and the fact that she is the type of person to lose the fishing spear, she’s in the crapper.  But she’s still the best woman out there and that counts for something.  

Last Week’s Chances:  2.5:1  This Week’s Chances: 7.5:1

Other than these five, I don’t see anyone else pulling it out.

And I thought Last Week’s was long…

About Derek Hanson

Doctor by day, blogger by night, Derek Hanson is the founder of the Bloguin Network and has been a Patriots fan for more than 20 years.

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